NFL Week 7 Sky Sports Predictions and Betting Tips
?NY Giants @ LA Rams
So the home advantage for the Rams is basically void as this is played in London. Every time the Rams throw for anything more than 150 yards it surprises me. Case Keenum is surrounded by an average bunch of receivers. Todd Gurley has got nowhere near the heights of last season where he looked like one of the best running backs in the league. The Giants have shown a good run defence so I struggle to see the Rams scoring many. Instead I think the Giants and Odell Beckham put up a bit of a show with quick passes and yards after the catch.
Tip: New York Giants -4.5 on the handicap @2.25
Buffalo @ Miami
Buffalo are now 4-2 having started the season awfully. The incredible running attack of Bills has been behind their resurgence. McCoy is having an incredible year while Taylor can also cause teams trouble in the ground. Miami are a hard team to predict as their seems to be no pattern to their results. The offensive explosion against Steelers was probably due to their weaknesses but Tannehill can impress when protected. Miami have produced a mixed bag in the second half. Their best second half performance came when trailing the Patriots who probably allowed them back into it. Buffalo have won five second halfs in a row. A punishing rushing team, they seem to tire the opponents on defences out and I take them to do that again.
Tip: Buffalo Bills -1.5 in the second half handicap @1.91
New England @ Pittsburgh
Landry Jones is not very good. He is also not a quarterback in the mould of Ben Roethlisberger, no one really is. Can the offence fire without him? Sure, to some extent. They have two of the top twenty running backs in the league behind a strong offensive line. They also have Antonio Brown catching balls. In the game last season, Gronk had over 90 and three touchdowns. This year they have him and Martellus Bennett causing havoc for opponents. Cam Heyward will miss this game and they struggled when Miami spread out to stop the run. The defence has no interceptions and Brady will surely keep that dismal record up. The question is how to take advantage. I like the over on points, Blount over on rushing yards and Bennett anytime touchdown scorer as they concentrate on stopping shrink.
Tip: Martellus Bennett to score anytime touchdown @2.87
Seattle @ Arizona
The Seahawks always work the way into a season. Never strong at the start of the year, they are already 4-1. They may have got lucky against Atlanta but they got the win. It was a third quarter bonanza from the best offence in the league which kept the Falcons in the game. Arizona have won their last two games against sub standard teams mainly on the strength of running back David Johnson. Seattle have shown the ability to stop runners for years. If they do then Carson Palmer has not shown the ability to punish defences. Last year his deep throwing caused any team that loaded the box trouble but this year he has missed receivers. I think Seattle should be strong favourites here and could see this as an alternative handicap bet on Seattle giving Arizona a few points
Tip: Seattle to beat Arizona @2.05
Houston @ Denver
Holes have started to be exploited in the strong Broncos start. To lose to the impressive Falcons was not so bad. However the Chargers one looks like a bad loss. Houston eventually overcame a poor Colts team on Monday and head into this as the AFC South favourite. The key storyline will be the return of Brock Osweiler. Can he exploit a Denver defence he should know well or can they stop a quarterback that they also know. The better coaching staff of Denver should be a factor here. I expect them to keep Houston to a low score for a strong victory although Lamar Miller should be a player Denver are scared of giving how running backs have hurt them.
Tip: Denver Broncos -8.5 on the handicap @1.91
W/L: 3-2
Profit/Loss: +5.30
